Validated Combos (T2 v6)

Каталог проверенных (combo + стратегия) пар из validate_combo.py · См. также: T2 v3 · T2 v4 · T2 v5
56уникальных combo
117стратегий (вариантов)
109симметричных
8асимметричных
13combo в прямом направлении
43combo в инверсии
Минимально-достаточные ограничения
Период: IS = 2025-01-01 → 2025-09-30 (train, 9 мес), OOS = 2025-10-01 → 2026-04-07 (test, 6+ мес) — forward-looking split.
N на период: ≥ 30 в IS и OOS (защита от overfit).
Ratio: симметрия — TP=SL ≥ 2.5:2.5; асимметрия — TP ≥ 2.5.
WR: симметрия — WR ≥ 50% (психологический минимум); асимметрия — WR ≥ 1/(1+ratio) + 10pp (статистический edge над breakeven).
E[R]: ≥ +0.05R на обоих периодах.
EXPIRED%: ≤ 50% на обоих периодах (иначе edge лежит на close-at-N, шумно).
Consistency: min(IS,OOS)/max(IS,OOS) ≥ 0.5 — edge не должен схлопываться между периодами.
Window: подбирается максимизацией E[R] на IS; OOS оценивается на этом окне как clean test.
Strength (v6): buckets [0.0, 1.5), [1.5, 3.0), [3.0, 7.0), [7.0, ∞) — каждый bucket фильтрует триггеры по силе в диапазоне [min ≤ strength < max) и валидируется независимо. Cell (direction × TP × SL) может пройти в нескольких buckets одновременно — каждый bucket даёт отдельную строку в таблице. Это ловит non-monotonic кривые (например U-shape), которые cumulative-фильтр strength ≥ X пропускает. N на bucket: ≥ 50 в IS и OOS (строже, чем 30 в cumulative-режиме — узкий фильтр = тоньше sample).
Direction: вариант сохраняется для того направления (original/inverted), где выше E[R]; второе направление приводится как contra.
CLEAN_BOUNCE 2 combo, 2 variant(s)
× Growth&Tech INVERTED 1 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 25 bars [1.5, 3.0) +0.249R 61.8% 51 33.3% +0.310R 59.0% 50 22.0% -0.280
ℹ small N: IS=51 / OOS=50 — статистика на грани порога N≥50 per bucket
× Industrial ORIGINAL 1 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 25 bars [0.0, ∞) +0.368R 59.5% 128 30.5% +0.192R 55.2% 87 33.3% -0.280
restored from v5: validated combo missed v6 strength-bucket criteria (N<50 per bucket)
VWAP_REVERSION 6 combo, 13 variant(s)
× Consumer INVERTED 2 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.088R 51.9% 4938 17.1% +0.064R 51.5% 3408 20.8% -0.076
⚠ fragile: OOS E[R]=+0.064R близко к порогу +0.05R; ⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.5% — близко к 50% (sym)
symmetric TP=3.00R / SL=3.00R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.116R 52.2% 4938 26.4% +0.068R 51.5% 3408 30.5% -0.092
⚠ fragile: OOS E[R]=+0.068R близко к порогу +0.05R; ⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.5% — близко к 50% (sym)
× Energy&Resources INVERTED 1 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=4.00R / SL=4.00R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.069R 50.9% 4931 41.2% +0.121R 51.4% 3575 43.9% -0.095
⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.4% — близко к 50% (sym)
× Growth&Tech INVERTED 2 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=3.00R / SL=3.00R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.060R 51.0% 3547 24.6% +0.105R 52.1% 2452 28.9% -0.082
symmetric TP=3.50R / SL=3.50R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.119R 52.1% 3547 34.9% +0.079R 51.2% 2452 37.9% -0.099
⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.2% — близко к 50% (sym)
× Industrial INVERTED 1 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 15 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.141R 53.8% 3530 35.2% +0.090R 52.0% 2190 38.0% -0.116
× Metals&Materials INVERTED 3 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.092R 51.9% 4055 12.2% +0.059R 51.0% 2703 14.5% -0.075
⚠ fragile: OOS E[R]=+0.059R близко к порогу +0.05R; ⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.0% — близко к 50% (sym)
symmetric TP=3.00R / SL=3.00R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.103R 51.8% 4055 20.7% +0.076R 51.0% 2703 22.7% -0.089
⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.0% — близко к 50% (sym)
symmetric TP=3.50R / SL=3.50R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.117R 51.7% 4055 28.7% +0.090R 51.1% 2703 31.5% -0.103
⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.1% — близко к 50% (sym)
× Utility INVERTED 4 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.084R 51.8% 6446 15.0% +0.065R 51.3% 4127 17.9% -0.074
⚠ fragile: OOS E[R]=+0.065R близко к порогу +0.05R; ⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.3% — близко к 50% (sym)
symmetric TP=3.00R / SL=3.00R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.084R 51.5% 6446 23.6% +0.069R 51.3% 4127 26.6% -0.076
⚠ fragile: OOS E[R]=+0.069R близко к порогу +0.05R; ⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.3% — близко к 50% (sym)
symmetric TP=3.50R / SL=3.50R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.113R 51.8% 6446 33.1% +0.066R 51.1% 4127 34.8% -0.089
⚠ fragile: OOS E[R]=+0.066R близко к порогу +0.05R; ⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.1% — близко к 50% (sym)
symmetric TP=4.00R / SL=4.00R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.121R 51.6% 6446 41.3% +0.069R 50.7% 4127 42.9% -0.095
⚠ fragile: OOS E[R]=+0.069R близко к порогу +0.05R; ⚠ fragile: OOS WR 50.7% — близко к 50% (sym)
BOS 1 combo, 2 variant(s)
× Utility INVERTED 2 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 15 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.143R 50.5% 162 37.6% +0.151R 52.4% 99 36.4% -0.147
ℹ small N: IS=162 / OOS=99 — статистика на грани порога N≥50 per bucket
symmetric TP=4.00R / SL=4.00R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.477R 55.6% 162 38.9% +0.392R 57.4% 99 45.5% -0.435
ℹ small N: IS=162 / OOS=99 — статистика на грани порога N≥50 per bucket
STOP_HUNT 5 combo, 6 variant(s)
× Consumer INVERTED 1 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=3.00R / SL=3.00R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.066R 51.4% 1136 26.6% +0.085R 53.0% 841 34.7% -0.075
× Growth&Tech INVERTED 1 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.130R 53.0% 807 15.9% +0.099R 52.8% 619 21.6% -0.114
× Industrial ORIGINAL 1 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 25 bars [1.5, 3.0) +0.162R 53.0% 126 20.6% +0.234R 55.4% 107 30.8% -0.198
× Metals&Materials INVERTED 2 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 25 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.090R 51.4% 810 19.5% +0.175R 53.9% 539 23.9% -0.133
symmetric TP=3.00R / SL=3.00R 25 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.077R 50.7% 810 27.6% +0.099R 52.2% 539 33.6% -0.088
× Utility INVERTED 1 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 30 bars [3.0, 7.0) +0.144R 54.4% 71 19.7% +0.251R 56.9% 78 25.6% -0.198
ℹ small N: IS=71 / OOS=78 — статистика на грани порога N≥50 per bucket
FALSE_BREAKOUT 9 combo, 20 variant(s)
× Consumer INVERTED 3 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 30 bars [1.5, 3.0) +0.063R 51.3% 1576 20.6% +0.124R 53.4% 1338 24.6% -0.093
symmetric TP=3.00R / SL=3.00R 30 bars [1.5, 3.0) +0.072R 51.6% 1576 30.0% +0.117R 53.1% 1338 35.3% -0.094
symmetric TP=3.50R / SL=3.50R 30 bars [1.5, 3.0) +0.131R 52.8% 1576 39.4% +0.124R 52.8% 1338 45.8% -0.128
× Energy&Resources INVERTED 4 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.077R 51.8% 3368 15.1% +0.093R 52.1% 2436 19.1% -0.085
symmetric TP=3.00R / SL=3.00R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.105R 52.3% 3368 24.4% +0.080R 51.3% 2436 28.5% -0.092
⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.3% — близко к 50% (sym)
symmetric TP=3.00R / SL=3.00R 30 bars [7.0, ∞) +0.242R 53.3% 170 28.2% +0.203R 54.7% 230 30.9% -0.223
symmetric TP=3.50R / SL=3.50R 30 bars [7.0, ∞) +0.219R 52.9% 170 40.0% +0.164R 53.0% 230 42.6% -0.192
× Energy&Resources ORIGINAL 2 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 20 bars [3.0, 7.0) +0.149R 53.6% 817 27.7% +0.115R 54.4% 753 29.8% -0.132
symmetric TP=3.00R / SL=3.00R 20 bars [3.0, 7.0) +0.144R 52.9% 817 39.2% +0.269R 59.1% 753 40.5% -0.206
× Financial INVERTED 1 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 15 bars [7.0, ∞) +0.423R 62.1% 190 34.7% +0.238R 57.0% 211 42.6% -0.330
× Growth&Tech INVERTED 2 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.093R 52.1% 2673 18.3% +0.055R 51.5% 1959 22.9% -0.074
⚠ fragile: OOS E[R]=+0.055R близко к порогу +0.05R; ⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.5% — близко к 50% (sym)
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 30 bars [3.0, 7.0) +0.075R 52.0% 498 19.7% +0.087R 51.6% 587 25.0% -0.081
⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.6% — близко к 50% (sym)
× Industrial ORIGINAL 2 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 20 bars [3.0, 7.0) +0.135R 52.3% 606 34.6% +0.172R 55.5% 519 33.7% -0.153
symmetric TP=3.00R / SL=3.00R 20 bars [3.0, 7.0) +0.134R 51.8% 606 46.2% +0.183R 56.6% 519 46.2% -0.158
× Metals&Materials INVERTED 3 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=3.00R / SL=3.00R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.086R 51.2% 2796 23.4% +0.083R 51.7% 1881 28.3% -0.084
⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.7% — близко к 50% (sym)
symmetric TP=3.50R / SL=3.50R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.100R 51.2% 2796 31.9% +0.090R 51.4% 1881 37.5% -0.095
⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.4% — близко к 50% (sym)
symmetric TP=4.00R / SL=4.00R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.108R 51.2% 2796 40.8% +0.099R 51.2% 1881 46.4% -0.103
⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.2% — близко к 50% (sym)
× Metals&Materials ORIGINAL 1 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=3.50R / SL=3.50R 30 bars [3.0, 7.0) +0.195R 53.5% 534 30.7% +0.134R 54.2% 517 39.6% -0.164
× Utility INVERTED 2 variant(s)
TypeRatioWindow Strength IS (train) OOS (test) ContraNotes
E[R]WRNExp% E[R]WRNExp% E[R]
symmetric TP=2.50R / SL=2.50R 20 bars [7.0, ∞) +0.066R 50.8% 412 27.9% +0.130R 53.1% 383 32.1% -0.098
symmetric TP=3.00R / SL=3.00R 30 bars [0.0, 1.5) +0.107R 52.2% 2919 27.0% +0.076R 51.7% 1662 31.4% -0.091
⚠ fragile: OOS WR 51.7% — близко к 50% (sym)